Imagine you have a fair six-sided die. The probability of rolling a six is ( \frac{1}{6} \approx 16.67% ). If you roll the die 600 times, the expected number of sixes by pure chance is 100.
When you see a friend win the lottery, remember the index: Their +10 is mathematically guaranteed to happen to someone . When you spill coffee on your shirt before a big meeting, your index might be -1.5 for that morning. But by the time you die, if you live a full life of 30,000 days, your cumulative Index of Luck by Chance will be indistinguishable from zero. index of luck by chance
You are not lucky. You are not cursed. You are a sample size. Imagine you have a fair six-sided die
The Gambler’s Fallacy is the belief that if a coin lands on heads five times in a row, it is "due" for tails. The Index of Luck by Chance shows us exactly why this is wrong. When you see a friend win the lottery,
So, go calculate your own index. Then realize that the calculation itself changes nothing. The die keeps rolling, and the universe keeps its score.